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The issue of JCPOA is not decided at the level of government

* Dr. Gholamreza Karimi

* Faculty member of Kharazmi University

Dr. Gholamreza Karimi, Professor of International Relations at Kharazmi University, Tehran, spoke about the fate of the outcome and the nuclear talks after the end of the Twelfth Governmental administration. It has been approved and it is natural that with the change of administration, as an established official policy, there will be no serious change in it, while....

the US Secretary of State officially announced that the main determinant in the negotiations is the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Therefore, Dr. Karimi analyzed the end of the Twelfth Governmental administration and the fate of JCPOA from the perspective that the end of the current government does not necessarily mean weakening or strengthening JCPOA, although there will be some methodological changes in each case, but the principle of JCPOA will not be affected, Given the authority and dominance of the leadership over all sources of the country's affairs, including foreign policy issues, it is unlikely that there will be a serious change in the pursuit of the outcome, because the official policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran is based on Iran again under comprehensive UN sanctions and resolutions. Chapter 7 shall not be included in the Charter of the United Nations. According to Dr. Karimi, this issue is a red line in the macro-policies of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Therefore, it is predicted that with the coming to power of the thirteenth governmental administration, change, even if this government is inherently opposed to the JCPOA, there will be no significant change in the JCPOA and its pursuit.

Dr. Karimi went on to say about the role of the skill and ability of the potential negotiating team in the future administration that, naturally, the role of individuals and expertise and their dominance is a very important factor. Especially since over the past eight years, a person like Dr. Zarif, who has had extensive interactions with the negotiating parties, has naturally been considered the best person to advance the negotiations. The result is that in the Twelfth Government, conditions will be created in such a way that the ground will be prepared for the return of the United States to the JCPOA, and most of the oppressive sanctions against Iran will be lifted and the 13th government will be given a more stable situation. That can continue the same path. Professor Karimi as an analyst on international affairs and foreign policy, regarding the complexities of the negotiations, raised the possibility that the return of the United States to the JCPOA would not be possible until the end of the twelfth administration and that sanctions would not be lifted. Therefore, Dr. Karimi, considering that there will probably be changes in the composition of the future cabinet, and by asking the question, what will happen if the negotiating team of the future be not professional? They acknowledged that if no significant changes were made, part of the middle and expert body of the State Department and the current negotiating team would be used.

The professor karimi recomended the future government, even if it opposes the outcome, to use the expert opinions of the current negotiating team, and to analyze the future government, even if there are significant changes, from the team at the level of Deputy Foreign Minister, will be used to bring JCPOA back to normal and then make the necessary changes in foreign policy. Dr. Karimi acknowledged that in any case, the approach of individuals in the government and the future negotiating team is very important and decisive. For example, if a person is chosen as the Minister of Foreign Affairs who does not believe in negotiating and advancing peaceful solutions to the crisis, it is natural that the other parties will lose their motivation to continue the negotiations. But Dr. Karimi believes that, given the Supreme National Security Council's and the Supreme Leader's control over the nuclear talks, it seems that the main body of the current negotiating team will continue to be present until the end of the talks and the return of the United States to the JCPOA and normalizing JCPOA.

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